NYT Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: NYT's strong digital growth and stable historical returns suggest potential for further positive price movement, reinforced by favorable options demand and implied volatility edge.




Bearish Case: Potential downside due to declining print revenues and elevated implied volatility for puts, signaling market caution. Geopolitical risks may further pressure the stock.




Potential Outcomes:

1) Continued digital growth (55%);

2) Market correction (30%);

3) Stagnation (10%);

4) Unexpected external shock (5%). These factors are deduced from historical trends and current volatility indicators.




Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread by buying the NYT $55 call and selling the $60 call, expiring in 60 days. This leverages implied volatility advantage and digital growth trajectory, aiming for a high reward-to-risk strategy.



February 19, 2025


New York Times Co. Forecast

NYT        New York Times Co.











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Anticorrelated Assets

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