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NYT Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: NYT's strong digital revenue growth and cultural influence offer substantial upside. The implied volatility suggests potential positive price movements as market confidence might realign.

Bearish Case: High current implied volatility and ongoing editorial controversies may exacerbate downside risks. The backwardation in the term structure indicates short-term uncertainty and potential price declines.

Potential Outcomes: 50% chance of digital growth stabilizing revenue.
30% likelihood of market correction due to sector volatility.
15% potential stagnation amid economic uncertainties.
5% chance of adverse event causing sharp decline.

July 10, 2025

New York Times Co. Forecast

NYT New York Times Co.

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NYT

BSY Bentley Systems (0.77)

CARR Carrier (0.71)

PAYS PaySign (0.66)

BEP Brookfield Renewable (0.64)

EXAS Exact Sciences (0.64)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NYT

JPM JPMorgan Chase (0.0)

SAP Sap SE (-0.01)

SABR Sabre (-0.01)

PM Philip Morris International (-0.01)

HOOD Robinhood Markets (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NYT

TRGP Targa Resources (-0.34)

SUN Sunoco (-0.36)

SPXU ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (-0.38)

SPDN Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares (-0.38)

COMP Compass (-0.46)

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