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ORCL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Oracle's strong position in AI and cloud computing, buoyed by strategic partnerships, signals robust growth potential. Recent technological investments and market expansion support positive price trends.

Bearish Case: Intense market competition and potential legal challenges could restrain Oracle's growth. Volatility spikes suggest potential short-term downside risks, especially if key partnerships falter.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Strong AI and cloud growth boost share price (60%).

2. Legal or competitive setbacks impact stock (25%).

3. Stable market performance persists (15%).

Trading Oracle: Given Oracle's mean-reverting nature and high implied volatility, entering a put credit spread strategy is favorable. Sell 170 Puts, buy 165 Puts, targeting expiration in 14 days. This capitalizes on bullish sentiment with a high probability of profit from supportive volatility conditions.

February 16, 2025

Oracle Forecast

ORCL Oracle

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ORCL

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SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.94)

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