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ORGN Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: A favorable resolution of ORGN's legal issues could restore investor confidence and enable price recovery, especially given the robust historical return potential within two years as indicated by the return surface.

Bearish Case: Continued negative legal outcomes may exacerbate declines in investor trust and hinder ORGN's price, as historical data shows limited positive returns within one to two years under adverse conditions.

Potential Outcomes: Favorable lawsuit resolution: 30%
Ongoing legal issues: 40%
Successful product launch: 20%
Market volatility impacts price: 10%

Trading Oracle: Engage in a bullish debit spread by purchasing short-term calls at $2.00 while selling $2.50 calls. High implied volatility suggests potential price movement. Target a mid-December exit post-legal resolution announcements for maximum probability of profit.

December 10, 2024

Origin Materials Forecast

ORGN Origin Materials

Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ORGN

EIX Edison International (0.9)

WPM Wheaton Precious Metals (0.89)

EPRT Essential Properties Realty (0.88)

FYBR Frontier Communications Parent (0.88)

GCI Gannett (0.88)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ORGN

NOVA Sunnova Energy International (0.01)

EXPD Expeditors International Of Washington (-0.01)

GIII G-III Apparel (0.01)

PPSI Pioneer Power (0.01)

LUV Southwest Airlines (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ORGN

BEN Franklin Resources (-0.81)

JACK Jack In The Box (-0.82)

DLTR Dollar Tree (-0.83)

CLF Cleveland-Cliffs (-0.84)

AMR Alta Mesa Resources (-0.85)

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