OSK Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Oshkosh's diversified portfolio and recent contracts hint at strong future revenue growth. The current implied volatility suggests potential upward movement in stock price, aligning with historical trends of recovery.


Bearish Case: Inconsistent trading volume and historical price declines raise concerns about sustained investor interest. Recent bearish sentiment in the market could hinder OSK’s recovery despite strong fundamentals.


Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance of significant revenue boost from new contracts.

2. 30% chance of stagnation due to market volatility.

3. 20% chance of bullish momentum from positive investor sentiment, with 10% risk of continued price decline.


Trading Oracle: Focus on bullish debit spreads with near-term calls (e.g., buy $110 call, sell $115 call) to capture upside potential while mitigating risks. Implied volatility supports this strategy due to currently low prices and mean reverting tendencies.


July 25, 2024


Oshkosh Forecast

OSK      Oshkosh











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Assets that tend to move strongly with OSK



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TREX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TREX  TREX Co. (0.93)


OMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMC  Omnicom Group (0.92)


MLM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MLM  Martin Marietta Materials (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to OSK



PGNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PGNY  Progyny (-0.0)


XMTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XMTR  Xometry (-0.0)


WPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WPC  W. P. Carey (0.01)


RUN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RUN  Sunrun (0.01)


CTRA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CTRA  Coterra Energy (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against OSK



AMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMC  AMC Entertainment (-0.84)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.84)


TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.85)


AGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGL  Agilon Health (-0.85)


HUM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUM  Humana (-0.9)


OSK News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.






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