PENN Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Holdings years show potential return >900%. Mean reversion & strong 1-month rise strengthen bullish outlook.


Bearish Case: Historical downward convexity evident. Realized volatility likely to exceed implied, enhancing downside risk.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Volatility persist (58%);

2. Upside breakout (30%);

3. Bearish collapse (12%). Realistic markers include earnings and market sentiment.


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June 19, 2024


Penn National Gaming Forecast

PENN      Penn National Gaming












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