PHM Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: PHM shows robust historical returns and AI bullish outlook (+1.12%) with 22% more bullish risk exposure, indicating strong market confidence in its future growth.




Bearish Case: Increasing put volume (61% more than calls) and overvaluation concerns amidst high implied volatility suggest potential downward pressure if market sentiment turns negative.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 50% chance of moderate growth due to strong fundamentals.
  • 30% probability of correction due to rising rates.
  • 20% chance of increased volatility causing fluctuations.




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April 27, 2025


PulteGroup Forecast

PHM        PulteGroup











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PHM



ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.98)


LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (0.93)


BZH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BZH  Beazer Homes USA (0.92)


OMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMC  Omnicom Group (0.89)


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PHM



DG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DG  Dollar General (-0.0)


ALL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALL  Allstate (0.0)


ZBH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZBH  Zimmer Biomet (0.0)


GLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLNG  Golar Lng (0.0)


IGV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IGV  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PHM



HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (-0.57)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.6)


CNP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNP  Centerpoint Energy (-0.63)


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (-0.65)


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (-0.66)









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