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PILL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: The potential for a rebound is supported by high implied volatility and previous mean reversion patterns. Positive legal and regulatory developments could also catalyze gains.

Bearish Case: Persistently high volatility, recent flat price action, and ongoing regulatory challenges suggest continued downward pressure on PILL.

Potential Outcomes: Regulatory change impact: 40% chance, may drive volatility.
Market rebound: 30% chance from mean reversion.
Continued decline: 30% driven by persistent volatility.

May 03, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PILL

TMHC Taylor Morrison Home (0.91)

FITB Fifth Third Bancorp (0.87)

DXC DXC Technology (0.85)

IRM Iron Mountain (0.85)

SCHD Schwab US Dividend Equity (0.84)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PILL

IBN ICICI (0.01)

TAL TAL Education (0.01)

STNG Scorpio Tankers (0.01)

SCO ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (-0.01)

CORT Corcept Therapeutics (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PILL

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.51)

NTR Nutrien (-0.53)

BA Boeing (-0.53)

DPZ Dominos Pizza (-0.53)

ETR Entergy (-0.57)

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