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PINK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: PINK's low implied volatility at higher strike prices suggests potential upward momentum, supported by favorable historical returns. Optimistic healthcare sentiment adds to this upward potential.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility at current prices suggests market apprehension, potentially driven by regulatory concerns in the healthcare sector. Stagnant recent price action further supports downside risks.

Potential Outcomes: Probability of flat trading is 40%, moderate rally 35% due to positive healthcare sentiment, significant drop 25% if regulatory issues arise. Historical mean-reverting trends support these estimates.

March 30, 2025

Simplify Exchange Traded Funds - Simplify Health Care Forecast

PINK Simplify Exchange Traded Funds - Simplify Health Care

Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PINK

AMT American Tower (0.82)

XLV Health Care Select Sector SPDR (0.77)

RARE Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical (0.77)

ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.76)

HCA HCA Healthcare (0.76)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PINK

VAL Valaris (0.0)

WFRD Weatherford International plc - New (0.0)

BHP BHP Group Limited (0.0)

ZM Zoom Video Communications (-0.01)

UVXY ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PINK

ETR Entergy (-0.67)

BBWI Bath & Body Works (-0.7)

MNSO MINISO Group Holding Ltd (-0.71)

CORN Teucrium Corn (-0.77)

LABD Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.89)

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