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PLUS Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Increased demand for PLUS products, driven by innovative launches and strong market positioning, could elevate stock prices as customer enthusiasm translates into sales growth. Implied volatility suggests upside potential.

Bearish Case: Intensifying competition and potential economic downturns may pressure PLUS's market share and profitability, leading to a decline in stock prices. The high implied volatility at lower strikes indicates risk.

Potential Outcomes: 30%: Robust earnings report due to product success.
40%: Stagnant growth amid competitive pressures.
20%: Significant loss from macroeconomic downturns affecting demand.
10%: Unexpected regulatory issues hamper operations.

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread using PLUS 85C/95C, capitalizing on the current low implied volatility for higher strikes. This approach targets a favorable earnings beat and leverages potential market rebounds, while limiting downside risk due to high composite volatility.

November 24, 2024

ePlus Forecast

PLUS ePlus

Price Forecast
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Assets that tend to move strongly with PLUS

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SHW Sherwin-Williams (0.83)

MHK Mohawk Industries (0.81)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PLUS

MSFT Microsoft (0.0)

IGT International Game Technology (0.0)

GOOG Alphabet (-0.01)

KOLD ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (0.02)

GOOGL Alphabet (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PLUS

SIMO Silicon Motion Technology (-0.67)

URNM North Shore Global Uranium Mining (-0.67)

LRCX Lam Research (-0.71)

ANET Arista Networks (-0.74)

CTAS Cintas (-0.74)

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