PNC Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: PNC shows higher call option volume and a bullish risk profile, suggesting potential upward price movement from current levels.




Bearish Case: Recent declines and backwardation in the PNC term structure indicate market caution, with potential for further downside if macroeconomic conditions worsen.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Stable Recovery: 40% chance of moderate price increase due to improved sentiment and call volume.
  • Continued Decline: 35% chance due to backwardated term structure and economic risks.
  • Stagnation: 25% likelihood as the market absorbs recent volatility.



March 23, 2025


PNC Financial Services Forecast

PNC        PNC Financial Services











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PNC



COLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COLB  Columbia Banking System (0.97)


MTB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTB  M & T (0.97)


DPST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DPST  Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X Shares (0.97)


ALSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALSN  Allison Transmission (0.95)


QTWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QTWO  Q2 (0.95)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PNC



STLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STLD  Steel Dynamics (0.0)


UBER Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UBER  Uber (-0.01)


HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (-0.01)


RMBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RMBS  Rambus (0.02)


ADI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADI  Analog Devices (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PNC



STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (-0.82)


LYB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYB  LyondellBasell Industries (-0.82)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (-0.83)


WU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WU  Western Union (-0.84)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.85)









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