PPG Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Despite high implied volatility in the immediate term, PPG has low long-term volatility, and high call volume hints at potential upward movement supported by stable industrial demand.




Bearish Case: Significant backwardation in term structure and flat price action signal market unease, with recent sharp declines in stock history suggesting potential continued downturn.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Volatility-driven rally: 40% chance;

2. Sideways movement amid industrial recovery: 30%;

3. Further declines driven by sector headwinds and volatility: 30%.




Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread targeting $120 calls expiring in late March. Volatility backwardation and high near-term vol present an opportunity for profit. Focus on capturing the potential post-earnings rebound while minimizing risk. A tight stop-loss should manage downside.



February 21, 2025


PPG Industries Forecast

PPG        PPG Industries











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