PRCH Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Historical mean reversion and a bullish Helium AI forecast suggest potential short-term upside, supported by recent strategic partnerships and operational improvements.




Bearish Case: Persistent regulatory scrutiny, financial instability, and elevated implied volatility indicate ongoing risk of negative returns and potential for continued decline.




Potential Outcomes: 60% decline risk from regulatory challenges; 30% chance of rebound due to strategic moves; 10% opportunity for profit via speculative trading.




Trading Oracle: Execute long-call debit spreads (buy Feb $5.00 C, sell Feb $7.50 C) to exploit potential upside. High IV offers rapid gain potential and limited risk. PRCH backwardation implies quick price moves; aim for short-term execution.



January 12, 2025


Porch Forecast

PRCH        Porch











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PRCH



PAYC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAYC  Paycom Software (0.78)


LAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAC  Lithium Americas (0.76)


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (0.74)


GTLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLS  Chart Industries (0.7)


CRNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRNC  Cerence (0.68)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PRCH



HACK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HACK  ETFMG Prime Cyber Security (-0.0)


DELL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DELL  Dell (0.01)


OPCH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OPCH  Option Care Health Inc. - Registered Shares (-0.01)


WFRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WFRD  Weatherford International plc - New (0.01)


TIGR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TIGR  UP Fintech (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PRCH



KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.7)


KDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KDP  Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.72)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (-0.74)


OLED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLED  Universal Display (-0.75)


MPWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPWR  Monolithic Power System (-0.81)









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