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PRK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: PRK's historical data and implied volatility suggest mean reversion and stability could drive a moderate price increase. Recent price hold and return likelihood bolster this view.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility at lower strikes and recent price declines highlight risks of further downturns. Ongoing geopolitical tensions add pressure on downside potential.

Potential Outcomes: 55% moderate increase; 30% decline due to geopolitical tension; 15% rapid surge linked to market catalysts.

Trading Oracle: Encode a bullish put credit spread (PRK 165/160) expiring in May 2025. The strategy captures volatility premiums effectively with elevated lower strike volatility, offering a solid reward-risk ratio.

February 18, 2025

Park National Forecast

PRK Park National

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PRK

ZION Zions Bancorporation N.A (0.95)

EVR Evercore (0.94)

COOP Mr. Cooper (0.93)

LINC Lincoln Educational Services (0.93)

MLI Mueller Industries (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PRK

FXY Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (-0.01)

RIOT Riot Blockchain (-0.01)

MFA MFA Financial (-0.02)

TALK Talkspace (0.02)

KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners (0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PRK

COTY Coty (-0.85)

AVNW Aviat Networks (-0.86)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.88)

XRX Xerox (-0.88)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.89)

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