PSI Forecast


Bullish Case: PSI's strong historical returns, low implied volatility for out-of-money calls, and healthy call trading volume suggest a bullish outlook while the stock trends upward.


Bearish Case: Significant volatility, recent price decline, and legal challenges facing a key sector company (Pepsi) signify potential downside. High implied volatility for in-money puts supports this view.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued price decline: 45% due to adverse sector developments and litigation.

2. Short-term rally: 30% from increased volatility and positive market sentiment.

3. Sideways movement: 25% amid uncertainty.


Trading Oracle: Deploy credit spreads (Helium Short Volatility), focusing on in-money put options expiring 07/19/2024 for higher premiums. Bearish sentiment suggests a one-month horizon, targeting 54 strike price puts.


June 27, 2024


Invesco Dynamic Semiconductors Forecast

PSI      Invesco Dynamic Semiconductors











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