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PUBM Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Recent strategic partnerships and potential spikes in ad revenue, especially with growing CTV demand, present a solid case for PUBM's uplift in performance amid an evolving digital landscape.



Bearish Case: Continued pressures from competitive ad tech markets, alongside anticipated weak financial performance amid an overall downtrend in advertising budgets, may adversely impact PUBM’s investor sentiment and stock value.



Potential Outcomes:

1. 45% - Improved revenue from CTV and new partnerships boosts stock.

2. 30% - Market share loss due to continued strong competition depresses price.

3. 25% - High volatility leads to uncertain investor confidence, resulting in price stagnation.



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish call debit spread by buying the Dec 2024 $15 calls and selling the $17.50 calls, taking advantage of current elevated implied volatility. This strategy aligns with the positive short-term outlook and minimizes downside risk, offering a high reward:risk ratio with calculated edge gain.


November 13, 2024


PubMatic Forecast

PUBM        PubMatic

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PUBM


OVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OVV  Ovintiv (0.87)


CTRA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CTRA  Coterra Energy (0.85)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (0.85)


OBE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OBE  Obsidian Energy (0.85)


HES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HES  Hess (0.84)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PUBM


SMH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMH  VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (0.0)


JD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JD  JD.com (0.0)


ALGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALGT  Allegiant Travel (0.0)


KOLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KOLD  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (0.0)


QS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QS  QuantumScape (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PUBM


TAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAC  Transalta (-0.75)


XEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XEL  Xcel Energy (-0.77)


G Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   G  Genpact (-0.78)


FXF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXF  Rydex Investments - Invesco CurrencyShares Swiss Franc (-0.82)


COMM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COMM  CommScope (-0.83)







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