REFR Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: REFR could see growth due to increased smart glass adoption and potential new automotive contracts, bolstered by high interest and potential technological breakthroughs.




Bearish Case: Historical data shows persistent underperformance with high volatility and overvaluation concerns, raising the risk of continued declines and market saturation.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Tech Adoption Boost: 30% chance of growth due to smart glass adoption.
  • Market Overvaluation Correction: 25% chance of sharp decline.
  • New Contracts: 20% chance of revenue boost from automotive deals.
  • Economic Downturn Impact: 15% chance of stagnation.
  • Innovative Breakthrough: 10% chance of significant growth due to breakthroughs.



March 18, 2025


Research Frontiers Forecast

REFR        Research Frontiers











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with REFR



IFF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IFF  International Flavors & Fragrances (0.81)


LHX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LHX  L3Harris (0.78)


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (0.77)


BAH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAH  Booz Allen Hamilton (0.76)


FSLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSLR  First Solar (0.75)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to REFR



SATS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SATS  EchoStar (-0.0)


GIII Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIII  G-III Apparel (0.0)


APP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APP  Applovin Corp (0.0)


X Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   X  United States Steel (-0.0)


DIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DIN  Dine Brands (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against REFR



ASAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASAN  Asana (-0.65)


AMPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMPL  Amplitude (-0.67)


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (-0.67)


LZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LZ  LegalZoom.com (-0.71)


IRTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IRTC  iRhythm (-0.79)









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