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REM Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: REM's recent integration into real-world real estate projects with potential partnerships ignites optimism. Additionally, the REM options term structure suggests potential for volatility-induced price movements favoring growth.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility at lower strikes and a historical pattern of flat to negative returns indicate skepticism. Interest rate concerns persist, risking downward pressure on REM prices.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Flat Movement (40%): Sustained flat movement given historical returns and current sentiment.
  • Moderate Increase (30%): Real estate recovery and partnerships drive growth.
  • Decline (20%): Macroeconomic stress and interest rates suppress demand.
  • Bullish Shift (10%): Unexpected positive catalysts boost sentiment.


July 05, 2025


iShares Mortgage Real Est Forecast

REM        iShares Mortgage Real Est

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with REM


ARR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARR  ARMOUR Residential REIT (0.82)


ENS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ENS  Enersys (0.8)


REXR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   REXR  Rexford Industrial Realty (0.75)


XLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLV  Health Care Select Sector SPDR (0.75)


CURE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CURE  Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X Shares (0.74)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to REM


ARCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARCC  Ares (0.0)


OMF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMF  OneMain (-0.0)


XLK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLK  Technology Select Sector SPDR (-0.01)


BXSL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BXSL  Blackstone Secured Lending Fund. (0.01)


EWW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWW  iShares MSCI Mexico (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against REM


CORT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CORT  Corcept Therapeutics (-0.55)


AXON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AXON  Axon Enterprise (-0.55)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.56)


CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (-0.56)


FDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FDP  Fresh Del Monte Produce (-0.59)







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