ROG Forecast


Bullish Case: ROG implied volatility is moderate, indicating stable market expectations. Opportunities exist with potential for higher returns given favorable historical price movements over the long term.


Bearish Case: Historical price returns show significant variability, indicating potential risk. Market implied volatility shows a risk of increasing uncertainties, especially at lower strike prices.


Potential Outcomes: 60% stable growth due to strategic initiatives; 30% decline from competitive pressures; 10% significant surge on breakthrough developments.


Trading Oracle: Implement near-term debit spreads (Helium Long Volatility) with a bullish focus on mid-range strikes around $130-$140. Expect a time horizon of 1-3 months based on moderate implied volatility levels. Maintain flexibility to pivot based on market developments.


July 13, 2024


Rogers Forecast

ROG      Rogers











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ROG



EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (0.72)


NOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOVA  Sunnova Energy International (0.72)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.7)


AWK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AWK  American Water Works (0.69)


FXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXY  Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (0.53)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ROG



MCD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCD  McDonald's (0.02)


SLAB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SLAB  Silicon Laboratories (-0.04)


BRZE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BRZE  Braze (-0.05)


ESTA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ESTA  Establishment Labs (0.07)


GOEV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GOEV  Canoo (-0.07)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ROG



WDC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WDC  Western Digital (-0.59)


TGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TGT  Target (-0.64)


CAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAL  Caleres (-0.67)


GEO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GEO  Geo Group (-0.68)


PFGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PFGC  Performance Food (-0.69)





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