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RSF Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: RSF's diversified portfolio could stabilize returns amidst geopolitical uncertainties. Historic trends suggest potential gains if conditions improve.

Bearish Case: Ongoing Sudan conflict and weak RSF fundamentals hint at sustained pressure on prices, with high likelihood of further losses.

Potential Outcomes: Short-term downturn (50%), stabilization if conflicts de-escalate (30%), moderate gains from strategic shifts (20%).

Trading Oracle: Adopt a bearish strategy with a 3-month bear call spread at $15.00/$15.50. High volatility and geopolitical risks favor premium gains from potential downtrends. Monitor developments for pivot opportunities.

February 13, 2025

RiverNorth Specialty Finance Forecast

RSF RiverNorth Specialty Finance

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RSF

CRSR Corsair Gaming (0.83)

TDOC Teladoc Health (0.77)

BBWI Bath & Body Works (0.76)

ETR Entergy (0.75)

CORN Teucrium Corn (0.71)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RSF

LYV Live Nation Entertainment (0.0)

HPK HighPeak Energy (-0.0)

TRI Thomson-Reuters (-0.01)

BYRN Byrna (0.01)

CWH Camping World (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RSF

ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp (-0.74)

VXX iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.77)

VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.78)

UNH Unitedhealth (-0.8)

FFIE Faraday Future Intelligent Electric (-0.84)

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