JOE Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: JOE's strategic land holdings in Florida and expanding real estate footprint underscore potential growth. Historical return likelihoods show long-term gains.




Bearish Case: Over-reliance on real estate amid economic variability and skepticism on sustainability could hinder growth. Elevated implied volatility suggests potential risk.




Potential Outcomes: 50% chance of moderate growth due to strategic initiatives. 30% potential downturn from economic factors. 20% likelihood of flat performance amid market uncertainty.




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February 11, 2025


St. Joe Forecast

JOE        St. Joe











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with JOE



UWMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWMC  UWM Holdings Corporation (0.79)


PEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PEP  Pepsico (0.75)


TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (0.72)


LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (0.71)


TMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMO  Thermo Fisher Scientific (0.7)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to JOE



TREX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TREX  TREX Co. (-0.0)


TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (-0.01)


SWTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SWTX  SpringWorks Therapeutics (0.01)


JDST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JDST  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Be (-0.01)


VNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNQ  Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against JOE



VSCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSCO  Victoria's Secret (-0.55)


PAYC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAYC  Paycom Software (-0.55)


V Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   V  Visa (-0.63)


NET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NET  Cloudflare (-0.64)


PLBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PLBY  PLBY (-0.64)









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