JOE Forecast


Bullish Case: JOE's implied volatility structure suggests declining uncertainty, reflecting potential price stability and growth, further bolstered by Microsoft’s data center development. Historical returns are predominantly positive.


Bearish Case: Near-term volatility spikes indicate potential for short-term negative price movements. Continuous geopolitical tensions and elevated interest rates pose risks, impacting investor confidence and market performance.


Potential Outcomes:

1. 45% + Healthy business growth reflecting in strong stock performance.

2. 35% - Short-term geopolitical impacts and interest rate concerns stinging stock price.

3. 20% - Volatile microeconomic conditions hindering gains.


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June 18, 2024


St. Joe Forecast

JOE      St. Joe











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Assets that tend to move strongly with JOE



BXP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BXP  Boston Properties (0.66)


KDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KDP  Keurig Dr Pepper (0.61)


OLN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLN  Olin (0.6)


CARR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CARR  Carrier (0.59)


CMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMC  Commercial Metals (0.57)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to JOE



ESTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ESTC  Elastic (0.0)


CLNE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLNE  Clean Energy Fuels (-0.0)


FNGR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNGR  FingerMotion (0.0)


ARR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARR  ARMOUR Residential REIT (0.0)


AU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AU  AngloGold Ashanti Ltd (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against JOE



ORAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORAN  Orange. (-0.34)


SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRTY  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.37)


TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.37)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.39)


UVIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVIX  VS Trust - 2x Long VIX Futures (-0.46)





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