RUN Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Sunrun benefits from rising demand for solar energy and positive policy shifts, potentially driving revenue growth.




Bearish Case: High debt, low market sentiment, and increasing put option volume suggest financial strain and potential further stock decline.




Potential Outcomes: Sunrun grows due to solar demand (60%), stock declines due to debt (30%), unexpected market catalyst sparks rise (10%)




Trading Oracle: Execute a short-term bearish strategy using a credit spread: sell RUN 06/20/2025 9.00 P and buy RUN 06/20/2025 10.00 P. High implied volatility offers premium capture with positive edge, while technical indicators and current sentiment favor downside risk management.



December 24, 2024


Sunrun Forecast

RUN        Sunrun











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RUN



NOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOVA  Sunnova Energy International (0.85)


UWMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWMC  UWM Holdings Corporation (0.77)


CALX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CALX  Calix (0.66)


ZTS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZTS  Zoetis (0.65)


CURE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CURE  Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X Shares (0.64)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RUN



FOUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FOUR  Shift4 Payments (-0.0)


MOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MOD  Modine Manufacturing (0.0)


FTAI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FTAI  Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors (0.0)


PPTA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPTA  Perpetua Resources (0.0)


COHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COHR  Coherent (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RUN



CRESY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRESY  Cresud (-0.62)


RRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRC  Range Resources (-0.64)


GTLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLS  Chart Industries (-0.67)


CPRT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CPRT  Copart (-0.72)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.73)









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