SACH Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Potential operational recovery and strategic growth could drive positive sentiment. Mean reversion tendencies suggest a bounce back to historical averages, supported by undervaluation.




Bearish Case: Persistent liquidity issues, historical negative returns, and market skepticism indicate further declines. High implied volatilities enhance downside risks in the current uncertain environment.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued liquidity issues lead to decline (50%).

2. Operational improvement incites bounce (30%).

3. Stability amid neutrality (20%).



April 12, 2025


Sachem Forecast

SACH        Sachem











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SACH



ADNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADNT  Adient (0.95)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (0.94)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (0.93)


ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (0.93)


XRAY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRAY  DENTSPLY Sirona (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SACH



FSS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSS  Federal Signal (-0.01)


IRM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IRM  Iron Mountain (0.01)


HL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HL  Hecla Mining (0.04)


MNSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MNSO  MINISO Group Holding Ltd (-0.05)


BHC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHC  Bausch Health Companies (0.05)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SACH



PL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PL  Planet Labs PBC - (-0.89)


JPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JPM  JPMorgan Chase (-0.9)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.92)


ORLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORLY  O'Reilly Automotive (-0.92)


FOXA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FOXA  Fox Corporation - (-0.93)









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