SAFE Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strong call option volume suggests bullish sentiment; SAFE's innovative model and mean reversion history point to recovery potential.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent price decline signal risk of further downturn, possibly due to market skepticism and economic pressures.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Price stabilization (45%): Driven by mean reversion and support from growth in call options.
  • Continued decline (30%): High volatility and skepticism persist.
  • Moderate recovery (25%): Positive sentiment and reduced IV lift prices.



May 17, 2025


Safehold Forecast

SAFE        Safehold











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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SAFE



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