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SAGE Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: SAGE's bullish potential lies in a successful depression treatment launch and significant market demand, evidenced by growing options interest and increased trading volumes in calls.

Bearish Case: Persistent regulatory challenges, historical underperformance, and current mean-reverting trends suggest high volatility and possible continued stock decline.

Potential Outcomes: 55% chance of successful drug launch with moderate price gains due to unmet needs.
30% chance of stagnation due to regulatory and market skepticism.
15% chance of significant decline from trial failures.

Trading Oracle: Bullish Long Volatility strategy chosen for SAGE due to current call volume dominance and volatility differential. Leveraging near-term options provides positive edge against market uncertainty.

March 28, 2025

Sage Therapeutics Forecast

SAGE Sage Therapeutics

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SAGE

DVN Devon Energy (0.88)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (0.87)

WU Western Union (0.87)

EC Ecopetrol SA (0.86)

LYB LyondellBasell Industries (0.86)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SAGE

INTU Intuit (0.01)

IFF International Flavors & Fragrances (-0.03)

PTLO Portillos (-0.03)

ACGL Arch (-0.03)

BB BlackBerry (-0.04)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SAGE

TT Trane (-0.89)

MFC Manulife Financial (-0.9)

CWAN Clearwater Analytics Holdings (-0.9)

EXTR Extreme Networks (-0.9)

KKR KKR (-0.9)

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Bullish / Bearish

Digital Assets / Most Accurate

Trading Strategies

Long Volatility

Short Volatility

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.