SAGE Forecast


Bullish Case: If upcoming Phase 2 topline data in Alzheimer’s and Huntington’s disease reveal positive results, SAGE can see a substantial upward revaluation given the unmet needs in these areas.


Bearish Case: Recent Phase 2 trial failure in Parkinson’s disease, coupled with the continuous decline in stock price, suggests persisting challenges and a lack of investor confidence. High uncertainty remains.


Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance of success in Alzheimer's & Huntington's trials, leading to recovery.

2. 50% chance of continued underperformance due to previous failures and high volatility.

3. 10% chance of high-risk outcomes leading to heavy declines.


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May 15, 2024


Sage Therapeutics Forecast

SAGE      Sage Therapeutics
Price Forecast: BEARISH    Price Action: RANDOM (?)











Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with SAGE



ARWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARWR  Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (0.88)


LW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LW  Lamb Weston (0.85)


JACK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JACK  Jack In The Box (0.85)


TXG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TXG  10x Genomics (0.84)


MRNS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MRNS  Marinus Pharmaceuticals (0.83)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to SAGE



PARR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PARR  Par Pacific (-0.0)


RRR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRR  Red Rock Resorts (-0.0)


PAGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAGS  PagSeguro Digital (0.0)


DLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DLO  DLocal (-0.0)


TMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMC  TMC the metals company (0.0)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against SAGE



AR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AR  Antero Resources (-0.79)


OVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OVV  Ovintiv (-0.79)


FTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FTI  TechnipFMC (-0.79)


RRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRC  Range Resources (-0.87)


CNX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNX  CNX Resources (-0.87)





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