SBUX Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Starbucks' innovation in menu and strategic investments in human capital may drive growth. Leadership changes and strong brand loyalty support positive momentum.




Bearish Case: Persisting unionization issues, declining market share in China, and operational challenges could weigh heavily on Starbucks' growth and profitability.




Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of operational success boosting brand, 25% ongoing union challenges, 20% new product success, 25% market challenges in China affecting growth.



June 20, 2025


Starbucks Forecast

SBUX        Starbucks











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