SBUX Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Starbucks' sustainability initiatives, innovative products, and seasonal promotions could drive sales growth. Solid brand loyalty supports recovery potential.


Bearish Case: Unionization efforts, rising labor costs, and increased competition, especially in China, may continue to drag down performance and margins.


Potential Outcomes: Possible outcomes include successful product expansion (40% chance), continued unionization issues (35%), sales boost from sustainability efforts (25%).


Trading Oracle: Use short volatility strategies: Sell the $69.0/$55.0 put spread expiring in 23 days. Positive expected edge, high probability (69%), 1:0.1 risk-reward ratio. Beneficial as volatility expected to stabilize.


July 12, 2024


Starbucks Forecast

SBUX      Starbucks











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SBUX



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.83)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.78)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.61)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.79)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SBUX



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.61)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.78)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.79)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.83)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SBUX



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.83)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.78)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.61)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.79)





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