SBUX Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Starbucks' digital initiatives and expansion in China create growth opportunities. Despite challenges, their brand loyalty and menu innovations support bullish sentiment.




Bearish Case: Labor disputes, legal issues, and market saturation create significant risks. High implied volatility suggests looming uncertainties, pressuring margins and stock price.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Union resolution boosts brand (40%)
  • Competitive pressures reduce market share (30%)
  • New product launches stabilize growth (30%)




Trading Oracle:

Given the flat term structure and Helium's bullish outlook, a Bullish Short Volatility Strategy is optimal. Sell ATM put options; buy OTM puts to hedge risk, leveraging high put volume and implied volatility.



April 06, 2025


Starbucks Forecast

SBUX        Starbucks











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SBUX



VIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIG  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF (0.82)


SATS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SATS  EchoStar (0.81)


SCHD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHD  Schwab US Dividend Equity (0.78)


UPST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UPST  Upstart (0.78)


JPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JPM  JPMorgan Chase (0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SBUX



LYFT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYFT  Lyft (0.0)


VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (0.0)


MSGE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MSGE  Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp - (0.01)


PHM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHM  PulteGroup (-0.01)


RMBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RMBS  Rambus (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SBUX



CLW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLW  Clearwater Paper (-0.72)


ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (-0.73)


ASC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASC  Ardmore Shipping (-0.75)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (-0.75)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.76)









Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with SBUX


 Ask any question about SBUX!