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IWD Forecast

Bullish Case: Enhanced institutional investment and a recent higher call volume signify bullish momentum for IWD, supported by low implied volatility levels suggesting limited risk of large downswings, with positive economic indicators reinforcing this outlook.

Bearish Case: Increased market uncertainty and potential economic headwinds signal a bearish case for IWD due to fluctuating implied volatility trends and historical return patterns suggesting more frequent price declines than gains.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Moderate gains (30% chance); driven by improved market sentiment.

2. Price stagnation (45% chance); as economic factors balance out.

3. Declines of 5-15% (25% chance); under tighter monetary policies or unexpected earnings miss, risking volatility.

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November 14, 2024

iShares Russell 1000 Value Forecast

IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with IWD

DGRO iShares Core Dividend Growth (0.98)

UNM Unum (0.97)

ITA BTC iShares U.S. Aerospac (0.96)

MLI Mueller Industries (0.96)

JPM JPMorgan Chase (0.96)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IWD

DKNG DraftKings (-0.01)

TTWO Take-Two Interactive Software (-0.01)

TNK Teekay Tankers (0.02)

QURE uniQure (0.02)

PTON Peloton Interactive (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IWD

CABA Cabaletta Bio (-0.85)

JACK Jack In The Box (-0.85)

CRSR Corsair Gaming (-0.85)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.87)

RWM ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.95)

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