SES Forecast


Bullish Case: SES could break out on increased urban safety initiatives and AI advances in city planning, potentially reflecting in positive price action given historical volatility and short-term positive drift [Helium].


Bearish Case: High historical likelihood of negative returns over 2-year periods combined with low current implied volatility suggests limited upside risk, poised for correction headed by broad macroeconomic risks [Helium][Helium Trades].


Potential Outcomes:

1. AI-driven urban planning success raises SES prices (35%).

2. Broad market correction impacts tech (40%).

3. Legal or regulatory challenges in tech sector weigh on SES (25%).


Trading Oracle: Implement short volatility strategies via credit spreads. With flat price action and high relative IV, sell SES 07/19/2024 7.50 C to buy SES 07/19/2024 5.00 C for July expiry. Time frame: one month. High probability, positive edge trade.


June 24, 2024


SES AI Corporation Forecast

SES      SES AI Corporation











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SES



LIT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LIT  Global X Lithium & Battery Tech (0.9)


CMP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMP  Compass Minerals International (0.88)


MED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MED  Medifast (0.88)


YUMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YUMC  Yum China (0.88)


LCID Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LCID  Lucid (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SES



AAPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAPL  Apple (-0.0)


TX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TX  Ternium S.A. - (-0.0)


FOXA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FOXA  Fox Corporation - (0.01)


MTTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTTR  Matterport (-0.01)


HL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HL  Hecla Mining (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SES



CAMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAMT  Camtek (-0.86)


TJX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TJX  TJX Companies (-0.87)


VST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VST  Vistra (-0.88)


INSW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INSW  International Seaways (-0.88)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (-0.89)





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