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RTX Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: RTX could benefit from geopolitical tensions increasing defense spending. Bullish sentiment shown by higher call option volume supports potential growth.

Bearish Case: Legal challenges and geopolitical instability pose risks. The backwardation in implied volatility suggests short-term uncertainty.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued defense contract growth (60%).

2. Legal/political disruption (20%).

3. Technological advancements beat forecasts (20%).

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January 15, 2025

Raytheon Forecast

RTX Raytheon

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RTX

PPA Invesco Capital Management LLC - Invesco Aerospace & Defense (0.94)

ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.94)

GLD SPDR Gold Shares (0.93)

TT Trane (0.92)

FE Firstenergy (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RTX

MAX MediaAlpha (0.0)

FXY Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (-0.01)

WPC W. P. Carey (0.01)

PEP Pepsico (0.02)

GTLS Chart Industries (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RTX

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.87)

CRSR Corsair Gaming (-0.88)

APLS Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.9)

AMR Alta Mesa Resources (-0.9)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.92)

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