SIVR Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Renewed industrial demand and geopolitical tensions may drive silver prices higher, reflected in recent market interest and Bank of America's bullish outlook on SIVR, projecting prices towards $32.50 in 2025.


Bearish Case: A stronger dollar and diminishing industrial demand may pressure SIVR prices downward, as indicated by high implied volatility levels in the options market, leading to potential sell-offs and bearish sentiment.


Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance of price increase as industrial demand rises.

2. 30% chance of stability with little price movement.

3. 30% chance of decline influenced by a stronger dollar and reduced demand.


Trading Oracle: Engage in a bearish credit spread by selling the 30.00 strike call and buying the 31.00 call, given high implied volatility and neutral short-term outlook. This strategy captures premium with limited risk, capitalizing on price stability.


July 25, 2024


Aberdeen Standard Physical Silver Shares Forecast

SIVR      Aberdeen Standard Physical Silver Shares











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SIVR



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.74)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.59)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.56)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.57)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SIVR



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.56)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.57)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.59)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.74)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SIVR



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.74)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.59)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.56)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.57)





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