SOCL Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: SOCL benefits from increased ad spending and user growth, driving prices higher. Optimism dominates sentiment analysis.




Bearish Case: Regulatory pressures and market volatility pose risks, potentially driving SOCL lower due to concentration risks and poor earnings.




Potential Outcomes: 30% chance SOCL hits $50 with ad growth; 25% stagnates at $42 due to regulation; 20% declines to $35 on earnings; other scenarios vary.




Trading Oracle: Implement a debit spread using SOCL options around the $45 strike with an April 2025 expiry. This exploits helium-implied volatility above market levels, capturing value in a potential market rebound scenario.



January 21, 2025


Global X Funds - Global X Social Media Forecast

SOCL        Global X Funds - Global X Social Media











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HSBC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HSBC  HSBC (0.74)


MAIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAIN  Main Street (0.73)


DB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DB  Deutsche (0.72)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SOCL



LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (0.0)


TNK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNK  Teekay Tankers (-0.0)


NGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NGL  NGL Energy Partners (-0.0)


LAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAC  Lithium Americas (-0.0)


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SOCL



CAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAL  Caleres (-0.56)


RRR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRR  Red Rock Resorts (-0.57)


KLXE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KLXE  KLX Energy Services (-0.57)


KOLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KOLD  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.64)


IQV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IQV  IQVIA (-0.65)









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