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SOXL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Recent tech advancements and AI integration drive high semiconductor demand. The Helium implied volatility data suggests potential underestimation of bullish market movement, aided by improving macroeconomic conditions.

Bearish Case: Flat term structure and high implied volatility signal potential corrections. SOXL's reliance on volatile sectors and macroeconomic instability could amplify downturns, especially with concerns over tech sector cooling.

Potential Outcomes: Surge in semiconductor demand: 45%
Tech sector cooling: 25%
Macroeconomic volatility impacts: 25%
Unexpected regulation: 5%

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May 07, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SOXL

NXPI NXP Semiconductors (0.93)

CABA Cabaletta Bio (0.92)

AMD Advanced Micro Devices (0.92)

STM New York Shares (0.92)

CVE Cenovus Energy (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SOXL

CTRA Coterra Energy (-0.0)

SLS SELLAS Life Sciences (-0.0)

RICK RCI Hospitality (-0.01)

MRVL Marvell Technology (-0.03)

O Realty Income (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SOXL

COMP Compass (-0.82)

UNM Unum (-0.85)

LRN Stride (-0.86)

PPL PPL (-0.88)

ORI Old Republic International (-0.89)

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