SOXS Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: A resurgence in semiconductor demand amid AI advancements could lead to significant price rallies for SOXS. High historical returns and increasing volatility suggest potential upward momentum in the coming months.




Bearish Case: An ongoing economic downturn and potential Fed rate hikes may suppress demand in the semiconductor sector, pushing SOXS lower. Historical trends align with bearish sentiments observed in implied volatility data.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Semiconductor demand surges (30%)

2. Fed rate hikes continue (25%)

3. Increased AI adoption fuels SOXS (20%)

4. Broader market correction impacts SOXS negatively (15%)

5. Volatile trading persists due to economic uncertainty (10%)




Trading Oracle: Enter a bullish calendar spread using the SOXS 11/22/2024 24.00C and 25.00C. This capitalizes on elevated implied volatility while limiting risk with favorable reward/risk dynamics. Maintain a short-term bullish outlook through December, leveraging potential demand spikes in semiconductors.



November 15, 2024


Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares Forecast

SOXS        Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares











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OUST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUST  Ouster (0.58)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SOXS



CLMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLMT  Calumet Specialty Products (0.0)


ADPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADPT  Adaptive Biotechnologies (-0.0)


AVTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AVTR  Avantor (0.01)


CYBR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CYBR  CyberArk Software (0.01)


INFY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INFY  Infosys (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SOXS



WY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WY  Weyerhaeuser (-0.68)


CVS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CVS  CVS Health (-0.69)


CWH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWH  Camping World (-0.73)


GL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GL  Globe Life (-0.75)


CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (-0.76)









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