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SOXS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: High implied volatility and potential economic pressures could boost demand for SOXS as a hedge against semiconductor downturns.

Bearish Case: Over the long term, potential stabilization in semiconductor markets and decreasing implied volatility could undermine SOXS returns.

Potential Outcomes: 50% chance of continued volatility leading to SOXS gains, 30% chance of semiconductor market stabilization, 20% chance of AI-driven demand boosts SOXS.

Trading Oracle: Focus on debit spreads with long call options on SOXS. Take advantage of high implied volatilities and potential near-term volatility spikes. Target 2-3 month timelines for peak ROI.

January 15, 2025

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SOXS Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SOXS

UVXY ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (0.78)

KDP Keurig Dr Pepper (0.54)

SU Suncor Energy (0.53)

AZN Astrazeneca (0.51)

VIRT Virtu Financial (0.46)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SOXS

VAL Valaris (-0.0)

NOW ServiceNow (-0.01)

RILY B. Riley Financial (0.01)

DE Deere (-0.02)

ETR Entergy (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SOXS

BHVN Biohaven Pharmaceutical (-0.66)

ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line (-0.67)

CWH Camping World (-0.7)

GL Globe Life (-0.73)

CZR Caesars Entertainment (-0.75)

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