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SPG Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: SPG's strategic acquisitions and robust dividend yield signal strong potential for growth. High call volume and bullish risk skew support upside potential.

Bearish Case: High price-to-book ratio and potential underperformance due to e-commerce competition and retail sector volatility present significant risks.

Potential Outcomes: 45% chance of strategic acquisition-driven growth as retail recovers.
35% risk of decline due to high valuations and competition.
15% chance of volatility impacting stability.

March 27, 2025

Simon Property Group Forecast

SPG Simon Property Group

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SPG

FAS Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares (0.94)

GIL Gildan Activewear (0.93)

VIG Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF (0.93)

CBRE CBRE (0.93)

CWAN Clearwater Analytics Holdings (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SPG

HCA HCA Healthcare (0.0)

RMBS Rambus (0.01)

AMH American Homes 4 Rent (0.03)

AEHR Aehr Test Systems (-0.03)

CRC California Resources (0.04)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SPG

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.84)

VAL Valaris (-0.84)

WFRD Weatherford International plc - New (-0.86)

GES Guess (-0.86)

DVN Devon Energy (-0.87)

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