SPG Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: SPG's strong portfolio, consistent dividend growth, and strategic acquisitions bolster its market position amidst sector revival trends.




Bearish Case: High price-to-book ratio, shifting retail dynamics, and declining traditional retail signal potential underperformance for SPG.




Potential Outcomes: 50% growth if retail recovery persists; 30% underperformance due to valuation risks; 20% volatility-driven movement.



April 23, 2025


Simon Property Group Forecast

SPG        Simon Property Group











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SPG



IWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWR  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap (0.94)


IVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVV  BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (0.94)


VIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIG  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF (0.94)


DGRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DGRO  iShares Core Dividend Growth (0.93)


SPTM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPTM  SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 1500 Composite Stock Market (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SPG



CMCSA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMCSA  Comcast (-0.0)


UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUUU  Energy Fuels (-0.0)


AEHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEHR  Aehr Test Systems (-0.01)


RMBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RMBS  Rambus (0.01)


ADI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADI  Analog Devices (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SPG



UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.77)


XRAY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRAY  DENTSPLY Sirona (-0.79)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (-0.81)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.82)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.84)









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