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Bullish Case: The antitrust scrutiny over private equity deals might not significantly impact SPGI, given the business does not have significant exposure in this area ^{[S&P Global]}. Recovering finance sector, potential enhanced shareholder returns from Japanese banks, and growing battery market demand could also lead to positive performance ^{[S&P Global, S&P Global, S&P Global]}.

Show historical bullish cases

April 25, 2023: Strong Q1 fund-raising in secondaries market^{[S&P Global]}, growing private debt and private equity markets^{[S&P Global]}, and resilient US equity real estate investment trusts^{[S&P Global]}.

May 06, 2023: Robust economic expansion and increasing demand for data, technology, and expertise services post-IHS Markit merger ^{[Market Watch]}.

May 25, 2023: Rising demand for clean energy, low-carbon hydrogen, and ammonia projects may boost ESG-related offerings and data services, driving revenue growth for the company ^{[S&P Global][S&P Global]}.

June 14, 2023: Strong demand for clean energy and ESG initiatives drives revenue growth in related data services^{[S&P Global]}; robust global economic conditions stimulate demand for financial analytics^{[S&P Global]}.

July 04, 2023: The expansion of S&P Global's data and analytics business through the merger with IHS Markit may improve recurring revenue mix and allow for potential cross-selling opportunities and cost synergies ^{[seekingalpha.com]}.

July 27, 2023: S&P Global's commodities insights and data are crucial in volatile markets, with increasing demand for oil-related data ^{[S&P Global], [S&P Global], [S&P Global]} and market forecasts ^{[S&P Global], [S&P Global], [S&P Global]}.

August 16, 2023: High demand for diverse data services offered by S&P (^{[S&P Global], [S&P Global], [S&P Global], [S&P Global], [S&P Global], [S&P Global], [S&P Global], [S&P Global], [S&P Global]}), and successful ESG evaluation adjustments (^{[Breitbart], [WION]}) indicate strong growth potential.

September 05, 2023: The continued focus on data analysis of patterns and future system performance ^{[S&P Global]}, and increased buying of SPGI shares by institutions ^{[defenseworld.net]} suggest a potential positive future performance.

September 27, 2023: - Institutional investment in SPGI shares continues to suggest potential for positive future performance. (Sept 5) - Demand for SPGI's diverse data services remains high across financial markets, ESG, energy, and commodities. (Aug 16, July 27) - The IHS Markit merger expands SPGI's data and analytics capabilities. (June 14, July 4)

October 17, 2023: Continual demand in multiple sectors such as energy, finance, and real estate underpins S&P Global's potential for growth. The bullish case is built on factors such as ExxonMobil's major acquisition,^{[S&P Global]} significant activity in insurance debt offerings,^{[S&P Global]} and a rebound in Chinese copper markets.^{[S&P Global]}

Bearish Case: The strict regulations could cause private equity performance, one potential component of SPGI's business, to slow down significantly ^{[S&P Global]}. Constant geopolitical and inflationary threats could also hamper performance ^{[S&P Global]}.

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April 25, 2023: Slowdown in fintech funding^{[S&P Global]}, challenging environment for bank mergers^{[S&P Global]}, tech sector downturn affecting stock prices^{[S&P Global]}.

May 06, 2023: Increasing competition in the data and analytics sector and potential regulatory obstacles for future expansion ^{[S&P Global][S&P Global]}.

May 25, 2023: Market uncertainties and policy delays in the clean energy sector, as well as economic pressures from factors like the US debt ceiling, could negatively impact financial markets, dampening demand for S&P Global's services ^{[S&P Global][seekingalpha.com]}.

June 14, 2023: Market uncertainties around clean energy sector^{[S&P Global]}; heightened competitive pressures and potential regulatory obstacles affecting expansion^{[S&P Global]}.

July 04, 2023: If perceived risk of default continues to increase among S&P 500 companies, it could pose a threat to the credibility and reliability of S&P Global's ratings ^{[S&P Global]}.

July 27, 2023: S&P Global may face exposure to the wider banking industry's capital ratio challenges ^{[S&P Global]} and potentially declining securities ^{[S&P Global]}, which could hamper financial performance.

August 16, 2023: Regulatory shifts and changing investor perspectives could disrupt S&P's ESG scoring system leading to reduced trust and business (^{[Breitbart], [WION]}).

September 05, 2023: Factors such as deteriorating real estate markets ^{[S&P Global, S&P Global, S&P Global, S&P Global, S&P Global]}, uncertainty in the energy markets ^{[S&P Global, S&P Global, S&P Global, S&P Global]}, and downgrading of banks ^[fool.com] could negatively impact S&P Global's future financial performance.

September 27, 2023: - Regulatory shifts and changing investor perspectives could disrupt SPGI's ESG scoring model. (Aug 16) - Deteriorating real estate, uncertainty in energy markets, and downgrading of banks could hurt SPGI. (Sept 5)

October 17, 2023: Market indicators hint at potential risks. Factors such as the apparent overvaluation of S&P Global, as per DCF analysis,^[Yahoo] a diminishing growth rate in China's EV sales affecting cobalt markets,^{[S&P Global]} and an increase in the default risk for the U.S healthcare companies,^{[S&P Global]} could negatively Influence S&P Global's prospects.

Takeaway: SPGI may encounter headwinds or tailwinds from evolving private equity dealscape amid antitrust scrutiny, depending on the pace and intensity of regulatory changes ^{[S&P Global]}. Its performance could also be influenced by global geopolitical and inflationary dynamics ^{[S&P Global]}.

Show historical takeaways

April 25, 2023: S&P Global's performance is influenced by mixed market factors; watch for listed outcomes in shaping future trends^{[S&P Global][S&P Global][S&P Global]}.

May 06, 2023: S&P Global's success largely hinges on effective post-merger integration and overcoming competitive pressures in the industry.

May 25, 2023: S&P Global's future performance may strongly depend on the global market's appetite for clean energy and ESG initiatives, as well as broader economic conditions ^{[S&P Global][seekingalpha.com]}.

June 14, 2023: S&P Global's performance hinges on global clean energy market dynamics, economic conditions, and industry competition^{[S&P Global][S&P Global][S&P Global]}.

July 04, 2023: The future performance of S&P Global may depend largely on the success of its merger with IHS Markit as well as the stability of the companies it rates ^{[S&P Global][seekingalpha.com]}.

July 27, 2023: S&P Global's position as a data provider is vital in fluctuating markets, leading to potential gains ^{[S&P Global], [S&P Global], [S&P Global]}, though banking industry headwinds pose manageable risks ^{[S&P Global], [S&P Global]}.

August 16, 2023: S&P Global is adjusting its offerings to meet changing market demands while extending its range of services, offering diverse growth opportunities (^{[WION], [S&P Global]}).

September 05, 2023: The critical concern for SPGI is the uncertain climate in real estate and energy markets alongside the volatility in banking. However, Institutional investment in SPGI and the advent of AI in data analysis present hopeful outcomes.

September 27, 2023: The critical factors for SPGI are uncertain real estate/energy markets and regulatory shifts, balanced against strong institutional investment and demand for data services. AI and advanced analytics may also create opportunities if volatility in key markets can be navigated.

October 17, 2023: S&P Global sits at a critical junction influenced by trends in multiple sectors. Prospects for growth in sectors like finance and energy counterbalance potential concerns in markets like cobalt and healthcare. Monitoring these developments is essential to ascertain future performance.^{[S&P Global, S&P Global, S&P Global, S&P Global, Yahoo, S&P Global]}

Potential Outcomes: ^{[S&P Global]} The resumed private equity dealmaking could lead to a growth in S&P Global's business (30%). This estimation is drawn from the high volume of private equity transactions which could lead to renewed demand for SPGI's services ^{[S&P Global]}. ^{[S&P Global]} On the other hand, expanded antitrust scrutiny could induce a slowdown in private equity dealmaking, resulting in a stagnant performance for S&P Global's related businesses (70%). This is due to the intensifying crackdown by regulatory bodies on such deals, which could cause investors to hesitate or postpone their investments ^{[S&P Global]}.

November 11, 2023

S&P Global Forecast

[SPGI] S&P Global
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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SPGI Balanced News:

Banking crisis impacting global economy Balanced News

Recent banking crisis affecting global economy, central banks intervening, increased recession odds in US.

May 08, 2023

First Republic Bank seeking buyer Balanced News

San Francisco's First Republic Bank seeks buyer after credit-rating downgrades.

April 09, 2023

Securitisation volumes surge 60% in India. Balanced News

India's securitisation volumes jump 60% in Q1 FY23-24; S&P upgrades India's banking sector.

July 11, 2023

Fed pauses, markets mixed, AI-boom Balanced News

Fed pauses rate hikes, tech stocks rally, experts debate if market bull run is genuine.

June 23, 2023

Stocks fall, Powell testifies Balanced News

Global stocks slip, Powell testifies on rate hikes, long way to 2% inflation target.

June 27, 2023

Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with SPGI

[ITOT] BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market (0.9)

[OPEN] Opendoor (0.87)

[FLEX] Flex (0.86)

[EXP] Eagle Materials (0.86)

[RKLB] Rocket Lab USA (0.86)

Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to SPGI

[KIM] Kimco Realty (-0.0)

[VERV] Verve Therapeutics (-0.0)

[DEA] Easterly Government Properties (-0.0)

[BAX] Baxter International (-0.01)

[SU] Suncor Energy (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

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[TWM] ProShares UltraShort Russell2000 (-0.63)

[CPB] Campbell Soup (-0.64)

[HPK] HighPeak Energy (-0.64)

[VXX] iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.74)

[SPXS] Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.88)

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