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SRPT Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: SRPT's advancing pipeline, especially in gene therapy, and positive trial outcomes present a robust growth potential, with regulatory approvals potentially boosting valuation.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility and unresolved litigation pose significant risks, compounded by regulatory uncertainties and market competition, potentially affecting stability.



Potential Outcomes:

1. FDA approval boosts stock (60%).

2. Patent litigation negatively impacts finances (30%).

3. Market competition pressures revenue (10%).



Trading Oracle: Adopt a bearish short volatility strategy. Sell $125 calls and buy $135 calls expiring in 52 days. This captures potential volatility spike profits, leveraged by Helium's positive edge. High reward:risk, use rapid adaptations.


January 29, 2025


Sarepta Therapeutics Forecast

SRPT        Sarepta Therapeutics

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Assets that tend to move strongly with SRPT


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REGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   REGN  Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (0.56)


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (0.55)


CNXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNXC  Concentrix (0.52)


CHPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHPT  ChargePoint (0.51)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SRPT


UAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UAN  CVR Partners (0.0)


AX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AX  Axos Financial (-0.0)


ICE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ICE  Intercontinental Exchange (0.0)


CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (-0.01)


BDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BDX  Becton, Dickinson And Company (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SRPT


RL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RL  Ralph Lauren (-0.45)


DQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DQ  Daqo New Energy (-0.46)


PAYC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAYC  Paycom Software (-0.47)


V Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   V  Visa (-0.5)


BYRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYRN  Byrna (-0.56)







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