SRPT Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Recent FDA collaborations and a strong siRNA partnership foster growth opportunities. Social support aligns with optimistic expectations in gene therapy advances.




Bearish Case: Ongoing patent disputes, volatility in trial outcomes, and regulatory challenges pose significant risks. Uncertainty is amplified by high implied volatility and recent stock underperformance.




Potential Outcomes: Successful siRNA advancements (40%), unfavorable patent litigation outcome (30%), FDA demands further data (30%). Market conditions and regulatory outcomes are pivotal.




Trading Oracle: Trade bullish with long volatility debit spreads, buying $120 calls and selling $125 calls expiring March 2025. Capture potential run-up due to siRNA developments. Strategy offers a high reward-to-risk ratio.



December 24, 2024


Sarepta Therapeutics Forecast

SRPT        Sarepta Therapeutics











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