SU Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Suncor's call option volume is significantly higher, with backwardation in the volatility term structure suggesting near-term bullish sentiment. Strategic moves towards sustainability and high call activity hint at growing investor confidence.




Bearish Case: Suncor's recent price decline and high implied volatility suggest ongoing market uncertainty. Legal challenges and environmental considerations impose persistent risks that could weigh on future performance.




Potential Outcomes: Oil price rise: 50%, Regulatory impact: 30%, Stable market: 20%.



May 06, 2025


Suncor Energy Forecast

SU        Suncor Energy











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SU



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.73)


OVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OVV  Ovintiv (0.59)


NOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOG  Northern Oil and Gas (0.56)


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (0.52)


NBR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NBR  Nabors Industries (0.5)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SU



KKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KKR  KKR (0.0)


PFGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PFGC  Performance Food (-0.0)


AXP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AXP  American Express (0.0)


WEBL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WEBL  Direxion Daily Dow Jones Internet Bull 3X Shares (-0.0)


UNIT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNIT  Uniti (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SU



VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.3)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.3)


EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.31)


IBN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IBN  ICICI (-0.37)


SCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCO  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (-0.42)









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