SU Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strong sustainability moves and financial performance make Suncor appealing amidst energy demand stabilizing and diversification efforts.




Bearish Case: Environmental and operational risks, along with high short interest, could weigh heavily, especially amidst market volatility.




Potential Outcomes: Rising oil prices boost SU by 20% (70%). Regulatory challenges drop it 10% (40%). Market stability holds price flat (30%).




Trading Oracle: Engage a bullish Helium short put credit spread strategy, selling $39.5 puts and buying $37.5 puts expiring in 16 days. With an 78% profit probability, this approach leverages low volatility, high reward-to-risk ratio amidst moderate Helium volatility forecasts.



February 13, 2025


Suncor Energy Forecast

SU        Suncor Energy











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SU



NOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOG  Northern Oil and Gas (0.66)


SNX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNX  TD Synnex (0.56)


SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (0.55)


SAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAN  Banco Santander (0.55)


JNUG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JNUG  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bu (0.53)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SU



ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (-0.0)


GOLF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GOLF  Acushnet (-0.0)


BHP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHP  BHP Group Limited (0.0)


AMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMT  American Tower (0.0)


UA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UA  Under Armour (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SU



KOLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KOLD  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.38)


SPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPT  Sprout Social (-0.41)


DKL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DKL  Delek Logistics Partners LP - Unit (-0.42)


AEHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEHR  Aehr Test Systems (-0.45)


SHLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHLS  Shoals (-0.45)









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