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TD Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: TD’s historical mean-reverting nature, coupled with higher call option activity, suggests potential for a modest rebound as volatility decreases.

Bearish Case: Regulatory challenges and high implied volatility at increased strike prices raise concerns about further declines or stagnation.

Potential Outcomes: 35% chance of regulatory resolutions boosting prices; 40% risk of stagnation from ongoing scrutiny; 25% possibility of increased volatility from unexpected economic shifts.

Trading Oracle: Consider deploying bullish debit spreads targeting the $57.50 call expiring in July 2025. Leverage stable volatility and backwardation, targeting minor upside while controlling risk. Monitor U.S. regulatory developments closely.

January 04, 2025

Toronto Dominion Forecast

TD Toronto Dominion

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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See Longer Forecasts

Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TD

OPCH Option Care Health Inc. - Registered Shares (0.76)

ABEV Ambev (0.72)

WY Weyerhaeuser (0.72)

FXY Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (0.71)

KLXE KLX Energy Services (0.69)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TD

INTU Intuit (-0.0)

VSCO Victoria's Secret (0.0)

TNK Teekay Tankers (-0.02)

UUUU Energy Fuels (0.02)

INFY Infosys (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TD

CRK Comstock Resources (-0.6)

SCHW Charles Schwab (-0.62)

HIMS Hims & Hers Health (-0.66)

MAIN Main Street (-0.71)

MCK Mckesson (-0.71)

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