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TD Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: TD's restructuring efforts and strategic asset sales could boost long-term shareholder value, with stabilized volatility suggesting reduced risk and potential growth.

Bearish Case: Regulatory challenges and high put volume indicate significant short-term risk, potentially leading to further price declines if U.S. operations underperform.

Potential Outcomes: Expansion in U.S. market post-compliance (30%): Drives growth.
Continued regulatory challenges (40%): Hinders recovery.
Neutral performance due to restructuring (30%): Stabilizes price.

March 16, 2025

Toronto Dominion Forecast

TD Toronto Dominion

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TD

PTLO Portillos (0.67)

FXY Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (0.6)

CVS CVS Health (0.54)

UBER Uber (0.53)

SGRY Surgery (0.52)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TD

BR Broadridge Financial Solutions (-0.0)

CBRE CBRE (0.0)

BYRN Byrna (0.01)

AMR Alta Mesa Resources (-0.01)

TRV Travelers Companies (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TD

NWL Newell Brands (-0.39)

DELL Dell (-0.41)

FLR Fluor (-0.42)

PWR Quanta Services (-0.43)

DNN Denison Mines (-0.53)

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