TD Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: TD's mean-reverting nature and decreasing long-term implied volatility suggest potential stabilization and upside. Current price nearing recovery zone seen in historical graphs.




Bearish Case: Persistent regulatory issues and high implied volatility at near-term strikes indicate potential for continued challenges and volatility.




Potential Outcomes: 35% chance of price stabilization driven by strategic initiatives; 40% chance of temporary downturn from regulatory effects; 25% chance of mixed outcomes leading to neutral movement.



April 13, 2025


Toronto Dominion Forecast

TD        Toronto Dominion











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TD



SNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNY  Sanofi (0.76)


OPCH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OPCH  Option Care Health Inc. - Registered Shares (0.75)


FEZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FEZ  SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (0.64)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (0.63)


ICE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ICE  Intercontinental Exchange (0.59)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TD



LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (-0.0)


ADNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADNT  Adient (-0.0)


VIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIG  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF (0.0)


NXPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NXPI  NXP Semiconductors (-0.01)


ZG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZG  Zillow (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TD



AA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AA  Alcoa (-0.54)


RPD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RPD  Rapid7 (-0.54)


LYFT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYFT  Lyft (-0.57)


HELE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HELE  Helen of Troy (-0.6)


SAM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAM  Boston Beer Co. (-0.63)









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