THC Forecast


Bullish Case: THC is seeing strong institutional interest and positive earnings revisions, with implied volatility indicating potential upside movement. Increasing investments suggest long-term growth potential.


Bearish Case: High price-to-book ratio and recent insider selling indicate overvaluation risks. Implied volatility surface shows significant uncertainty, suggesting potential downside pressure.


Potential Outcomes: 50% chance of steady growth driven by earnings beat and sector momentum; 30% chance of price correction due to overvaluation; 20% fluctuation due to market uncertainty.


Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish credit spread by selling the $125 put and buying the $120 put expiring in August. High probability-of-profit; leverages the contango observed in the term structure and favorable implied volatility. Estimated high reward-to-risk with controlled downside.


July 11, 2024


Tenet Healthcare Forecast

THC      Tenet Healthcare











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BLBD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLBD  Blue Bird (0.96)


ADMA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADMA  Adma Biologics (0.96)


UHS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UHS  Universal Health Services (0.96)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to THC



RMBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RMBS  Rambus (0.0)


REM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   REM  iShares Mortgage Real Est (0.0)


RIOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIOT  Riot Blockchain (-0.0)


ARI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARI  Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (0.0)


NOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOG  Northern Oil and Gas (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against THC



TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.91)


SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRTY  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.91)


HUM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUM  Humana (-0.92)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.93)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.93)





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