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TIGR Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: TIGR's underlying bullish momentum, driven by strong trading volume and favorable macroeconomic signals in fintech, may lead to a price increase, especially with options pricing reflecting higher volatility expectations ahead. Historical data supports significant upside potential.



Bearish Case: Heightened regulatory scrutiny and persistent market volatility could trigger a downside for TIGR. With implied volatilities peaking, any negative news may exacerbate price drops as market sentiment shifts.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% chance of price stabilization around $8 as sector dynamics align positively.
  • 30% chance for a pullback to $6 amid rising volatility concerns.
  • 20% chance for a sharp rally past $9 if bullish momentum continues.
  • 10% chance of significant declines below $5 if market sentiment worsens.



Trading Oracle: Engage in a bullish debit spread by purchasing the TIGR 8.00 C (expiring 12/27) and selling 9.50 C to capitalize on high implied volatility. Profit potential of ~30% with a favorable risk/reward ratio. Timing aligns with upcoming positive sector news anticipated in January 2025.


December 18, 2024


UP Fintech Forecast

TIGR        UP Fintech

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TIGR


FUTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FUTU  Futu (0.74)


MCHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCHI  BTC iShares MSCI China (0.74)


CTLP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CTLP  Cantaloupe (0.72)


UBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UBS  UBS (0.71)


AIQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AIQ  Global X Funds - Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology (0.69)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TIGR


CURE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CURE  Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X Shares (-0.0)


GTLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLB  Gitlab (-0.0)


SQQQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SQQQ  ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.0)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.0)


YANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YANG  Direxion Daily FTSE China Bear 3X Shares (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TIGR


BAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAX  Baxter International (-0.57)


MGPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MGPI  MGP Ingredients (-0.57)


TWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWI  Titan International (-0.57)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.6)


BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (-0.66)







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