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TREX Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: TREX shows potential for upward movement with strong historical returns and favorable social sentiment. Positive analyst upgrades and product innovations add to growth prospects.



Bearish Case: Concerns about overvaluation and market saturation persist amid high P/B ratio and recent downward pricing trends. Elevated implied volatility suggests market apprehension.



Potential Outcomes:

Growth: 25%, driven by strategic initiatives.
Consolidation: 35%, as market absorbs past gains.
Correction: 40%, driven by valuation concerns and volatility.



Trading Oracle: Initiate a bullish debit spread by buying the $72.50 call and selling the $75.00 call expiring in 45 days. This strategy leverages current mean reversion trends and high social sentiment, achieving positive edge and high probability of profit.


February 13, 2025


TREX Co. Forecast

TREX        TREX Co.

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Assets that tend to move strongly with TREX


LSCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LSCC  Lattice Semiconductor (0.9)


ABCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABCL  AbCellera Biologics (0.9)


CRSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRSR  Corsair Gaming (0.89)


DIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DIN  Dine Brands (0.89)


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TREX


SLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SLS  SELLAS Life Sciences (0.0)


JOE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JOE  St. Joe (-0.0)


SRPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRPT  Sarepta Therapeutics (0.01)


FMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FMC  FMC (0.01)


OTIS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OTIS  Otis Worldwide (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TREX


ZETA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZETA  Zeta Global Holdings Corp (-0.82)


AFL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AFL  Aflac (-0.83)


SO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SO  Southern (-0.84)


INSG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INSG  Inseego (-0.85)


CDNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CDNA  Caredx (-0.86)







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