TROW Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: Strong institutional interest and a flat term structure indicate a potential recovery in TROW’s stock price. Resilience in dividend payments could attract more investors.




Bearish Case: Persistent underperformance, evidenced by lower recent returns and heightened implied volatility, raises concerns over TROW's near-term prospects. Risk of investor outflows remains significant.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Institutional interest drives recovery (40%).

2. Continued underperformance reduces price (30%).

3. Positive earnings surprises lead to growth (20%).

4. Market volatility exacerbates downtrend (10%).




Trading Oracle: Engage in a bullish strategy by selling $105 puts and buying $100 puts, targeting a 74% profit probability in approximately 21 days. This approach capitalizes on TROW’s mean-reverting tendencies and low implied volatility advantage.



October 27, 2024


T. Rowe Price Forecast

TROW        T. Rowe Price











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Assets that tend to move strongly against TROW



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