TRUE Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Growing demand in the used EV market and strategic partnerships could drive a rebound in TRUE, capitalizing on current market dynamics.




Bearish Case: Persisting market volatility, economic uncertainty, and high implied volatilities suggest potential downside risks, with historical trends showing negative returns.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Rebound driven by used EV market surge (35%).

2. Continued decline due to volatility (40%).

3. Stagnant performance with low volatility (25%).



June 26, 2025


Truecar Forecast

TRUE        Truecar











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TRUE



UWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWM  ProShares Ultra Russell2000 (0.92)


SAIA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAIA  Saia (0.9)


TTD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TTD  Trade Desk (0.89)


GEOS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GEOS  Geospace (0.87)


DXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXC  DXC Technology (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TRUE



FSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSK  FS KKR (-0.01)


IONQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONQ  IonQ (0.01)


TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (-0.02)


SYK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SYK  Stryker (0.02)


FOA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FOA  Finance of America Companies (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TRUE



FNV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNV  Franco-Nevada (-0.64)


EWP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWP  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI Spain (-0.65)


OKTA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OKTA  Okta (-0.69)


FEZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FEZ  SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (-0.71)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.73)









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