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TV Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Market anticipated earnings surprise and strategic investments could buoy short-term price. Potential strategic buybacks may support further.

Bearish Case: Chronic operational inefficiencies and stagnating Ad revenues, coupled with high past volatility, may erode value further.

Potential Outcomes: Earnings surprise (20%), regulatory shakeup (15%), market-wide sentiment drop (45%), resilient operational performance (20%).

Trading Oracle: Execute a short volatility strategy using credit spreads like TV 06/20/2025 2.00 C due to high implied volatility. Short the 2.00 put to capitalize on stability probability. Focus on 3-6 month horizons for optimal decay capture.

February 22, 2025

Grupo Televisa SAB Forecast

TV Grupo Televisa SAB

Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TV

BHP BHP Group Limited (0.88)

HUN Huntsman (0.88)

DVN Devon Energy (0.85)

LYB LyondellBasell Industries (0.85)

RIO Rio Tinto (0.85)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TV

CWH Camping World (-0.0)

PRU Prudential Financial (-0.01)

KDP Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.02)

CPS Cooper-Standard (-0.02)

AMC AMC Entertainment (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TV

TGTX TG Therapeutics (-0.8)

EXTR Extreme Networks (-0.81)

VIRT Virtu Financial (-0.81)

BKSY BlackSky Technology (-0.81)

AVXL Anavex Life Sciences (-0.83)

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Bullish / Bearish

Digital Assets / Most Accurate

Trading Strategies

Long Volatility

Short Volatility

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