TXN Forecast




Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: TXN's strong market position, especially in automotive and industrial sectors, along with positive projections from the CHIPS Act, bolster expectations for revenue growth and share price appreciation.




Bearish Case: Macroeconomic pressures, supply chain disruptions, and high valuation metrics present significant risks, potentially leading to constrained revenue growth and investor sentiment deterioration.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 35% chance of revenue growth driven by innovation and market demand.
  • 45% chance of a macroeconomic downturn impacting profits negatively.
  • 20% chance of unexpected positive catalysts boosting stock price significantly.




Trading Oracle: Consider executing a short put spread by selling the December 20, 2024 $185 put and buying the $180 put. This approach limits downside while allowing for capitalizing on potential price recovery after recent dips. The skew suggests a favorable market sentiment, positioning for a rebound.



December 18, 2024


Texas Instruments Forecast

TXN        Texas Instruments











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Assets that tend to move strongly with TXN



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VWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VWO  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets (0.86)


GCI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GCI  Gannett (0.86)


HRB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HRB  H&R Block (0.86)


LHX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LHX  L3Harris (0.86)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TXN



BNO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BNO  United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Brent Crude Oil (0.0)


BMY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMY  Bristol-Myers Squibb (-0.0)


MP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MP  MP Materials (0.0)


WPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WPC  W. P. Carey (0.0)


MCD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCD  McDonald's (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TXN



HTZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTZ  Hertz Global Holdings (-0.81)


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.82)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.83)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.84)


DLTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DLTR  Dollar Tree (-0.84)









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