TXRH Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Growing popularity and expansion, reflected in increasing same-store sales and geographical expansion into new markets, bode well for sustained revenue growth and investor confidence.


Bearish Case: Escalating cost pressures from labor and beef could squeeze margins, while increased competition and any potential consumer spending pullback pose significant downside risk.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Revenue growth continues (65%) likely driven by expansion and customer loyalty.

2. Q3 margin pressure due to cost inflation (-35%).

3. Price correction on earnings miss (-15%).

4. Moderate stock rise from new product rollouts (30%).


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July 16, 2024


Texas Roadhouse Forecast

TXRH      Texas Roadhouse











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TXRH



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.93)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.39)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.71)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.74)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TXRH



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.39)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.71)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.74)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.93)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TXRH



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.93)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.39)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.71)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.74)





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