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UAE Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: UAE's $1.4 trillion US investment commitments boost economic diversification, enhancing growth in AI, energy, and technology sectors. Strengthened geopolitical ties also support a stable economic environment.

Bearish Case: Geopolitical tensions and regional conflicts could escalate, impacting investor confidence. The UAE's reliance on oil revenue and mean-reverting price trends could heighten short-term volatility risks.

Potential Outcomes: Geopolitical stability fosters growth (60%).
Escalation in regional tensions increases volatility (30%).
Sustained economic diversification boosts confidence (50%).
Oil market fluctuations impact stability (40%).

April 01, 2025

BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI UAE Forecast

UAE BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI UAE

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with UAE

ORI Old Republic International (0.9)

SUPV Grupo Supervielle S.A. (0.9)

BFLY Butterfly Network (0.89)

BYRN Byrna (0.89)

V Visa (0.88)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UAE

EA Electronic Arts (0.0)

YCL ProShares Ultra Yen (-0.01)

VTRS Viatris (-0.01)

MOD Modine Manufacturing (-0.03)

FLR Fluor (0.05)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UAE

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (-0.87)

COTY Coty (-0.87)

CRON Cronos (-0.87)

STM New York Shares (-0.88)

GES Guess (-0.89)

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