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UAE Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: UAE stands to gain from economic diversification, infrastructure investments, and strong IMF growth projections, despite challenges.

Bearish Case: Extreme climate events and geopolitical tensions pose risks to stability, potentially impacting investor confidence and broader market growth.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Economic growth at 5.1% (60%): Bullish.
2. Geopolitical tensions heighten (25%): Bearish.
3. Continued real estate boom (50%): Bullish. Potentially strengthened by urbanization efforts.

June 03, 2025

BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI UAE Forecast

UAE BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI UAE

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Correlated Assets

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JPM JPMorgan Chase (0.9)

ORI Old Republic International (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UAE

OUST Ouster (0.0)

ACMR ACM Research (0.02)

FE Firstenergy (0.02)

DKS Dicks Sporting Goods (0.02)

GCO Genesco (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UAE

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (-0.88)

CVE Cenovus Energy (-0.89)

NVO Novo Nordisk (-0.9)

MUR Murphy Oil (-0.9)

STNG Scorpio Tankers (-0.91)

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