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UGA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: UGA's growth potential is robust with strategic partnerships and positive market sentiment. Implied volatility forecasts are stable, supporting favorable pricing trends. Increased call volumes indicate bullish sentiment.

Bearish Case: UGA faces risks from market volatility and recent price dips. The flat term structure and high implied volatility suggest potential overvaluation and correction risks. Concerns over energy sector instability add to downside pressure.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Price rises due to strategic partnerships (60%).

2. Correction due to high volatility (30%).

3. Stable trading as market finds equilibrium (10%).

May 20, 2025

United States Commodity Funds Forecast

UGA United States Commodity Funds

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with UGA

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (0.81)

ALLY Ally Financial (0.68)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (0.67)

IDN Intellicheck (0.66)

BBWI Bath & Body Works (0.65)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UGA

BEPC Brookfield Renewable (0.0)

DXC DXC Technology (-0.01)

BAX Baxter International (0.01)

NIO NIO (0.01)

PHG Koninklijke Philips (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UGA

POST Post (-0.66)

ED Consolidated Edison (-0.67)

FNF Fidelity National Financial (-0.69)

DUK Duke Energy (-0.74)

SCO ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (-0.93)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.