USD Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strong USD price recovery signals a positive trend, supported by high call trading volume and historical return likelihood, suggesting robust growth potential in semiconductors.




Bearish Case: Persistent USD weakness, high implied volatility, and market backwardation indicate vulnerability to macroeconomic shifts or negative shocks, creating potential for sustained downturns.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 45%: Continued recovery with sector-driven strength.
  • 30%: Stabilization as momentum pauses.
  • 25%: Correction amid heightened market risks.



July 16, 2025


ProShares Ultra Semiconductors Forecast

USD        ProShares Ultra Semiconductors











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with USD



IREN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IREN  IREN (0.81)


UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUUU  Energy Fuels (0.79)


AA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AA  Alcoa (0.73)


VB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VB  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Small Cap (0.73)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.7)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to USD



RACE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RACE  Ferrari (0.0)


DHT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DHT  DHT (-0.01)


JPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JPM  JPMorgan Chase (-0.01)


NWS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NWS  News (0.02)


TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against USD



CWEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWEN  Clearway Energy (-0.43)


GFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GFI  Gold Fields (-0.47)


PPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPL  PPL (-0.48)


CBOE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBOE  Cboe Global Markets (-0.51)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.61)









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